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Friday, May 11, 2018
Broken Promises
Whether you agree with the Iranian Nuclear Deal or not, we have a problem. During the last administration, the United States signed a multi-country contract that removed most economic sanctions against Iran for their promise that they would not develop a nuclear weapon during the terms of the agreement. There doesn't seem to be any evidence that the Iranians have broken their end of the bargain. The International Atomic Energy Agency's (IAEA), EU, and US have all certified compliance. Apparently, deals with the United States are only good during one administration. Any change at president or Congress is a valid reason to break agreements, deals, treaties. With that is mind, an agreement with the United States may only be honored for two years, when Congress could turn over. I have to wonder, does Trump really think this is a bad deal or is it just a deal that Obama's administration made, thereby bad by association? No one has ever claimed it was a perfect deal but the participants felt it was the best deal possible at the time.
This is a hallmark of the Trump administration. Since Trump's inauguration, we have withdrawn from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), The Paris Accord, and now the Iranian Nuclear Deal. There is also the threat to exit NAFTA. There were veiled threats about not honoring our NATO obligations. There seems to be no past contract by the United States that can't be broken. That is especially true of any deal agreed to during the eight years Obama was president.
The Iran deal was not a bilateral agreement between Iran and the US. The deal also included The United Kingdom, France, Germany, Russia, China and the European Union. NAFTA is between three countries. TPP included 11 other countries on both sides of the Pacific. The Paris Accord has been agreed to by virtually every country on Earth except the US. Is the goal to isolate the United States from the rest of the world? If so, the Trump administration is doing a great job.
Specifically, we have broken or withdrawn from a nuclear deal. How trusting of negotiations with the US should Kim Jong-un be? Even if there is an agreement, will the US honor and live up to it in two or four or six or eight years? There are also ongoing trade negotiations going on with China.
Regardless of whether you agree with the terms of a contract you agreed to, you are obligated to live up to the terms. We all have made bad decisions over the years. It may be a bad deal on cable TV, cell service, a mortgage, a car, a lease, etc. I would like to reduce my monthly rent by a few hundred dollars. Unfortunately, there is a pesky lease that I signed.
Historians know that this is a troubling pattern for US agreements. Our government broke almost every treaty we signed with the numerous Native American tribes. It appears that we continue this behavior into the 21st century.
There are some old fashion ideas that a person, group, company or nation should live up to their commitments. I guess those principles are outdated.
Based on history it would seem precarious to make a deal with the United States. It would seem foolish to make a deal with Trump either in his private or public life.
I'm hopeful that Iran and the other signers of that nuclear agreement can work out an acceptable alternative. I also hope that North Korea, South Korea, and the United States can work out a peaceful and long-term solution to that tinderbox.
While we often hear the term "trust but verify" in regard to treaties we usually assume that applies to the other party because they are not completely trustworthy. Maybe it is really the United States that can't be trusted.
wjh
Wednesday, May 2, 2018
Winning - April 2018
- Donny doesn't realize The White House is named The White House, or whatever they call it. Tippy top.
- The Administration imposes case quotas on immigration judges. Quantity, not quality.
- Markets decline in the first quarter. Stocks are negative for the year. The first negative quarter since 2015.
- Trump reaches 100 visits to his golf properties in 62 weeks. This from the guy who would be too busy being president to play golf.
- China imposes 15% to 25% tariffs on 128 US products, mostly agriculture.
- 04/09 - The FBI raid Trump personal lawyer Michael Cohen's office, home, safe deposit box, and hotel room and seize documents including those related to Stormy Daniels and Karen McDougal.
- Trump calls the FBI raid on Cohen, a legally served search warrant, "an attack on our country". Yet, he has never used those word to describe Russia's cyber attack on our country.
- White House homeland security adviser Tom Bossert is leaving the Trump administration. A victim of the Bolton appointment.
- 4/11 - Speaker of the House, Paul Ryan (R-Wisc), will not run for reelection in November. There will be a new Speaker in 2019 regardless of which party gains the majority.
- 4/13 - Elliott Broidy, deputy chairman of the RNC finance committee, resigns after $1.6 million payoff to former Playboy model who he got pregnant comes to light. The payoff was arranged by Trump lawyer Michael Cohen.
- 4/16 - A federal judge rejects Trump's request to review files seized by FBI raid of Michael Cohen and block prosecutors from reading the documents.
- Scott Pruitt's $43K secure phone booth violated spending laws. The EPA failed to notify and get Congressional approval. More swampy behavior by Trump's cabinet.
- Karen McDougal reaches an agreement with the National Enquirer. She is now free to tell her story about her affair with Trump. Expect interviews and probably a book.
- China places a 179% tariff on sorghum in retaliation for sanctions on Chinese tech companies.
- Kris Kobach, Kansas Secretary of State and leader of Trump's defunct Commission on Election Integrity, was found in contempt of court in a voter ID case. Karma.
- Mick Mulvaney, Trump's Director of the Office of Management and Budget, admits to only meeting with lobbyists who gave him money when in Congress. Very swampy and corrupt.
- A third federal judge again rules that Trump cannot stop DACA. Orders the administration to reopen the program to new applicants.
- Adm. Ronny Jackson, MD withdraws as nominee for head of the VA. Another example of the excellent extreme vetting by the Trump administration.
- 4/27 - Rep. Patrick Meehan (R-Pa.) resigns amid ethics probe. More harassment payoffs with public money, $39K.
- 4/30 - Thomas Homan, acting director of ICE and Trump's nominee for the directorship, steps down. Has conflicts with Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen. Another failed nomination by the administration.
wjh
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